11/21/2008 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A third place finish in the 2K Sports Classic Benefiting Coaches vs. Cancer is on the line this evening, as the fourth- ranked UCLA Bruins meet the Southern Illinois Salukis at Madison Square Garden.
The Bruins were the first highly ranked team to be knocked off this season, dropping a 55-52 decision to Michigan in the semifinals of this event on Thursday. It was a shocking result for UCLA, which defeated Prairie View A&M (82-58) and Miami-Ohio (64-59) in its regional matchups. Following this game, the Bruins will return back to the West Coast to host Florida International on November 29th.
As for SIU, it was handled much easier in its semifinal round contest, falling to 10th-ranked Duke, 83-58 last night. The Salukis had earned their spot at MSG by defeating California-PA (66-52) and Massachusetts (80-73) in the regional's, but were no match for the highly-touted Blue Devils. Upon conclusion of this game, SIU will stay on the road to face Western Kentucky on Wednesday.
The Salukis and Bruins have met twice on the hardwood, with UCLA winning both of those meetings.
The Bruins turned the ball over 17 times and shot poorly at the foul line (5- of-11), as they were stunned by Michigan last night. UCLA has had its share of struggles at the charity stripe early on, hitting just 57.1 percent of its attempts on the season. The Bruins were able to keep things close last night by shooting 42.0 percent from the floor and winning the battle on the boards, 38-25, but it wasn't enough in the end. Darren Collison and Jrue Holiday each scored 13 points to pace UCLA in defeat, while Nikola Dragovic posted 11 points off the bench. On the season, Collison tops the roster in scoring with 16.0 ppg and he is also dishing out 4.0 apg to pace the team in that department as well.
The Salukis shot a dismal 35.1 percent from the field and were outscored 54-35 in the second half of their loss to Duke last night. SIU was also outscored at the foul line, 40-12, and dominated on the boards, 42-28, in the setback. On a positive note, the Salukis did manage to force 19 turnovers and they have fared very well in that department this season, generating 20.3 tpg. Carlton Fay guided SIU in the loss with 17 points and three rebounds, while Kevin Dillard posted 10 points and seven assists. On the year, Fay leads the team in scoring (12.0 ppg), as well as rebounding (6.3 rpg). Dillard checks in with 11.5 ppg.
<< Short-handed Tar Heels take on Gauchos
Santa Barbara, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos play host to
a top-ranked team for the first time since 1991, as they welcome the number
one ranked North Carolina Tar Heels to the Thunderdome for non-conference
action this eve
<< No. 21 Davidson hosts Winthrop
Davidson, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 21st-ranked Davidson Wildcats try to get
right back into the win column tonight as they face off against the Winthrop
Eagles in non-conference action in North Carolina.
Davidson, which became the darling o
<< Vols and Blue Raiders mix it up in Murfreesboro
Murfreesboro, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 14th-ranked Tennessee Volunteers have
won a school-record 34 consecutive games at home, but they hit the road for
the first time this season to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders this
evening.
<< Second-ranked Huskies take on Explorers in Caribbean
St. Thomas, VI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The second-ranked Connecticut Huskies will
try to make it three wins in a row this evening, as they clash with the La
Salle Explorers in the opening round of the Paradise Jam at the UVI Sports and
Fitness Cente
Hornets return to Ford Center to face Thunder >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New Orleans Hornets return to the Ford Center Friday as
they take on the woeful Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Hornets played 71 home games at the Ford Center in the 2005-06 and 2006-07
seasons in the wake of the destruc
Lakers welcome Nuggets to Staples Center >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The top dog in the NBA's Western Conference, the Los
Angeles Lakers, welcome the red-hot Denver Nuggets to Staples Center on
Friday.
The Lakers improved to a gaudy 9-1 on Thursday when Kobe Bryant scored
Jazz pay a visit to San Antonio >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Utah Jazz head south to the Alamo City in search of
their third consecutive win Friday when they meet the San Antonio Spurs at the
AT&T Center.
C.J. Miles scored 25 points to lead Utah to a 105-94 comeback
Islanders shoot for fourth straight win in test with Devils >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Islanders will try to extend their season-high
winning streak to four games when they visit the New Jersey Devils for an
Atlantic Division matchup at Prudential Center.
After sweeping a home-and-home series wi
Teams that should be in: Stanford
Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.
Should be in:
Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.
| Southeastern Conference odds | |
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.
Work left to do: Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney. Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson. Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable. Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile. |
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In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
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