Hawks aim to bounce back against reeling Knicks

Basketball Betting Lines

03/08/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Hawks didn't open their current road trip the way they had planned this past weekend, but seem to have a good shot at bouncing back Monday night against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden.

Atlanta had its four-game winning streak cut short with Saturday's 100-94 loss at Miami in the opener of a three-game trek. Sixth Man of the Year candidate Jamal Crawford scored 24 points off the bench to lead Atlanta, which dropped to 15-15 as the visitor this season.

Joe Johnson netted 20 points and Josh Smith had 17 in the tough loss.

"We were controlling the game, and we had the tempo where we wanted it," said Hawks head coach Mike Woodson. "Teams are going to make runs. [The Heat] made a great run. They stayed with the zone."

The Hawks are fourth in the Eastern Conference and three games back of Orlando for the lead in the Southeast Division, and will also visit Washington on the trek. They had a chance to stay within striking distance of the Magic for the top spot, but Orlando fended off the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday to extend its lead.

New York is coming off a disturbing loss to the worst team in the NBA, the New Jersey Nets, and has dropped two straight and four of five games. In Saturday's 113-93 setback to the Nets in the opener of a short homestand, David Lee recorded 23 points and six boards in losing fashion.

Wilson Chandler registered a double-double with 20 points and 10 boards for New York, which blew a 16-point lead in the first half to fall to 13-21 in the Big Apple this season. The Knicks also set an NBA record by going 0-for-18 from three-point range. The last time they did not make a three-pointer in a game was on March 29, 2006, when they went 0-of-6 from downtown versus Boston.

"We gave them confidence," said Knicks newcomer Tracy McGrady, who posted two points and seven assists. "And once that happened, all hell froze over."

After tonight's game versus the Hawks, New York will kick off a five-game road trip through San Antonio, Memphis, Dallas, Philadelphia and Boston. McGrady, meanwhile, is questionable for Monday with body soreness.

The Knicks have won two of the first three meetings of the season with Atlanta, and 15 of the last 19 meetings between the teams at the Garden.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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